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Is Strategy Dead?

October 12, 2014

There is a fundamental change in management happening under out feet that is challenging the very need for strategy. Small changes are happening every day and in ten years’ time we won’t recognise management as we have thought of it in the past.

In his the landmark HBR article Moon Shots for Management, Gary Hamel notes that management is undoubtedly one of our greatest inventions, but the breakthroughs in management happened decades ago. Management is at the flat part of the S-curve: the breakthroughs are over.

Frederick_Winslow_Taylor_cropFrederick Taylor is largely recognised as one of the earlier pioneers of management. In his seminal text Shop Management (1903) he lays out a blueprint for modern management based on two core beliefs:


  1. Workers work less than they could

  2. Without management, work isn’t structured and incentivised effectively.



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Based on this, Taylor believed that management’s role was to arrange the work & pay the workers for the tasks completed. His work was further extended by the likes of James McKinsey (efficient resource allocation), Henry Gantt (tracking planned versus completed work, hence the creations of the Gantt chart), and Henry Ford, who was famously quoted as saying “why is it every time I ask for a pair of hands they come with a brain attached.” Creativity was not something valued. Who needed it when business just wanted willing, low skilled workers?

This approach worked well for a world focused on mass production. Variability was seen as the enemy during a relentless drive for efficiently and economies of scale.  It resulted in some impactful outcomes – vehicles for the masses, better access to food and overall a better standard of living. Businesses focused on maximizing shareholder value (making money). Strategy was all about, as famous –during-these-times strategy guru Michael Porter said, “coping with competition”.  That is, it was about developing strategies to exploiting barriers to entry to drive monopoly type behaviour.

Then along came the Internet with a huge right hook and sent traditional business reeling. Mobile followed-up with a kidney punch, putting traditional business models on their knees. The knockout blow has come in the form of a classic one-two: the cloud, offering any business the ability to scale with ease coupled with agile, allowing rapid delivery of value and the ability to turn on dime. All of a sudden, David’s started taking down Goliaths, publicly challenging them to please explain their relevance. Shockwaves are now rippling through the corporate audience as they watch their fellow lumbering giants stumble their way through the business landscape, blinded by the power of the new David.

Nikolai Valuev v David Haye

The archetypal corporate response has been typically entrenched; fight David the Digital Disrupter using protectionist laws, regulations and monopoly behaviour. However, as we have witnessed time and time again, this didn’t work for prohibition, the recording industry or file sharing as regulation only slows the demise of the incumbent. It doesn’t offer a long-term solution.

Current examples include

 


  1. Uber, who are radically disrupting the taxi industry. The response? Lobbying for law change and regulation.

  2. Airbnb, who are turning the hotel industry on its head using technology to connect guests directly with niche accommodation providers. The hotel industry’s response? A legal war that flies in the face of the booming sharing economy - the peer-to-peer marketplaces that have the potential to change how we do business everywhere.

  3. Apple and Spotify - reinventing the music business model.

  4. Netflix reinventing the movie business model.



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So this raises a very important question. Is strategy dead?

Agile thinking is based upon the concept that “no battle plan survives contact with the enemy”. Instead, as leaders, we establish some goals along with an environment that empowers self-organised teams to rapidly deliver customer value. We then get the hell out of their way.

Agility provides the ability to constantly change direction to meet our ever-changing business needs so frequently it is dizzying. Our ability to change trumps the mightiest strategy, begging the question:  does a truly agile business need strategy?

 


What did you think about this post?

Comments (8)


rapsli
07:32 am October 13, 2014

Does a truly agile business need a strategy? Does a truly agile business exist if it's size goes beyond start-up size??


Marc Andre Bouchard
01:17 pm October 13, 2014

Let's be carefull not to be a chicken with no head ! The Burlton pain - Gain approach is maybe what we Need : an Agile strategic approach !


Neil Taggart
04:48 pm October 13, 2014

Strategy is about seeing beyond the tactical (and, ideally, seeing beyond the competition). It's much older than business (as in modern 'theory of the firm' business).

Agility and strategy are not mutually exclusive. So, no, it's not dead, and you ignore it at your peril.


markrva
06:32 pm October 13, 2014

The premise here seems to imply that Agile IS a strategy. It's democratizing the workforce to bring smart, talented and creative employees into strategic planning. It requires shorter delivery cycles, over-communication and transparency. And thats a method that ought to be strategically employed, if senior managers can get their egos under control & stop trying to dictate performance through central planning.


Tom Henricksen
02:06 pm October 14, 2014

A business with no strategy would seem to get lost in the forest. Agile is about delivering working software, the product owner should be implementing the strategy for the business. I would agree with Neil Taggart's comments, "ignore it at your own peril."


Edwin Dando
06:38 pm October 14, 2014

Hi Tom, thanks for the comment. I disagree that agile is about delivering working software. Agile is about a mindset - one that embraces constant change rather than fears it. I spend a lot of time helping executives apply agile thinking to their entire business, in effect turning it into a rapid fire delivery machine, regardless of whether it is a software business or some other business. Agile is about the ability to change direction quickly, therefore I am questioning whether large up front plans and strategies are required.

I have done 5 starts ups and successfully sold 2, and from that experience I found that heavy strategic planning is a waste of time. Yes, you need to be highly aware of what is happening in the market, and yes, you need to have a vision of where you are going, but I don't believe tine spent developing "the winning strategy" is actually time that well spent. You can have the best strategy in the world, but if you cant deliver it, and you cant change it quickly with the market, it is irrelevant.

Thoughts?


Edwin Dando
06:42 pm October 14, 2014

Hi Neil, yes - I agree about strategy being about seeing beyond the tactical. My headline is purposefully designed to be little inflammatory, just to get discussion going :-).

I don't think strategic thinking is dead, but I do feel strategic planning can largely be replaced with a strong vision and a highly adaptive delivery mechanism.


rapsli
12:45 pm October 15, 2014

Your article got me thinking. I agree, when talking about strategy one thinks about big plans (3-5 years) tons of Power Point and in the end nothing but hot air. Research show that 9 out of 10 strategies are not being implemented. In my article (http://blog.rapsli.ch/posts..., sorry is in German) I came up with some kind of Agile Strategy Process (or at least the idea for). What that exactely means I'm not sure of.

I believe strategy and agile would match very well, as it would allow for a better connection between management and the actual worker with the result that the strategy is actually implemented and lived rather than living on some share drive somewhere deep in a corporte share.

Would love to see this more worked out, merging those two terms.